South African coal exporter Thungela Resources has reported a full-year loss for 2025, reflecting a sharp downturn in global thermal coal markets and shifting energy trends in key export destinations.
The company announced that it recorded a headline loss per share of $0.3752 for the year ended 31 December 2025, a significant reversal from the strong earnings reported in the previous year.
Falling Prices Hit Revenue
Thungela’s financial performance was largely impacted by declining coal prices and currency movements.

The miner reported:
- A 17% drop in revenue in 2025
- A 20% decline in average export prices for South African coal
- A 17% decrease in prices for its Australian operations
A stronger South African rand against the US dollar also weighed on earnings, reducing the value of export revenues when converted into local currency.
Weak Demand from Key Markets
The global thermal coal market remained under pressure throughout 2025, with subdued demand from major consumers such as China and India.
According to Thungela, both countries have been:
- Increasing domestic coal production
- Accelerating investment in alternative energy sources
This shift has reduced reliance on imported coal, impacting exporters like South Africa.
Global Energy Transition Adds Pressure
Beyond short-term demand fluctuations, the coal sector is also facing long-term structural challenges.
Globally, many economies are moving toward cleaner energy sources such as renewables and natural gas, in line with climate commitments. This transition is gradually reducing demand for thermal coal, particularly in electricity generation.
However, coal still plays a significant role in energy security for developing economies, meaning demand is likely to remain uneven rather than disappear entirely.
Currency Effects and Market Volatility
Commodity exporters like Thungela are highly sensitive to exchange rate movements. A stronger rand can:
- Reduce export competitiveness
- Lower profit margins when earnings are converted from dollars
Combined with volatile commodity prices, this creates a challenging operating environment for mining companies.
Outlook for the Coal Sector
Looking ahead, the outlook for thermal coal remains uncertain.

Key factors likely to influence the market include:
- Economic growth in major consuming nations
- Energy policy shifts toward renewables
- Global supply dynamics and geopolitical developments
While prices could recover in the short term due to supply disruptions or seasonal demand, long-term pressure from the global energy transition is expected to persist.
A Challenging Year for South African Mining
Thungela’s results reflect broader challenges facing South Africa’s mining sector, where companies must navigate fluctuating commodity prices, currency volatility, and evolving global demand.
Despite the setback, the company remains a key player in the export coal market, with operations in both South Africa and Australia.