2026 South Africa Budget Speech | Image: Parliament of the Republic of South Africa
Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana delivered the 2026 Budget Speech this week, declaring a pivotal shift in South Africa’s fiscal trajectory as debt stabilises for the first time in nearly two decades and structural reforms are accelerated to support inclusive growth.
Godongwana emphasised that five years ago South Africa faced severe fiscal strain stemming from the aftermath of State Capture, a downgrade to junk status, the global COVID-19 shock and placement on the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list. Since then, government has pursued disciplined fiscal management anchored on stabilising debt, investing in infrastructure and spending more efficiently.
Fiscal Results and Outlook
Under the new strategy:
- Debt will stabilise this year at ~78.9% of GDP and begin to decline over the medium term.
- The budget deficit narrows from 4.8% to 4.5% this year and forecast to reach 3.1% by 2028/29.
- Government projects South Africa’s real GDP to grow 1.6% in 2026, rising to 2% by 2028 as reforms take hold.
Godongwana underscored that stronger revenue performance allowed government to withdraw R20 billion of planned tax increases included in earlier proposals, while still adjusting personal income tax brackets and rebates in line with inflation to ease pressure on households.
Growth, Reform and Infrastructure
The Budget Speech outlined continued emphasis on four pillars:
- Macroeconomic stability
- Structural reforms
- Growth-enhancing infrastructure
- State capacity building
Key reforms include stabilising electricity supply, dismantling logistics bottlenecks, modernising local government utility models (water and electricity), and restructuring urban housing systems to support economic inclusion.
Infrastructure emerges as a major component, with over R1 trillion allocated over the medium term including transport, water and energy projects supported by both public funds and expanded public-private partnership (PPP) pipelines.
Social Support, Tax Relief and Savings Incentives
To support households and businesses:
- The VAT registration threshold for small businesses increases from R1 million to R2.3 million.
- Capital gains tax exemptions rise for qualifying small business owners.
- Tax-free investment limits jump from R36 000 to R46 000 per year.
- Retirement fund deduction limits increase from R350 000 to R430 000.
Excise taxes on alcohol, tobacco and fuel levies are adjusted in line with inflation.
Safety, Security and Service Delivery
The Budget sets elevated funding for peace and security to support joint efforts against organised crime and illegal mining. Health and education sectors remain priority areas, with enhanced allocations and targeted support through social grants and nutrition programmes.
Godongwana also detailed reforms to strengthen the national payments system, integrate crypto assets regulation into capital flow frameworks, and step up efforts to combat illicit trade, a significant drain on revenue and jobs.
The 2026 Budget focuses on restoring fiscal credibility, enhancing long-term growth prospects and prioritising infrastructure and reforms that are expected to support inclusive economic growth and improve access to services. According to Godongwana, this approach is essential to fulfilling South Africa’s constitutional commitment to dignity, prosperity and sustainable development.
Source: Budget Speech 2026 delivered by Minister Enoch Godongwana, National Treasury.